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Kevin Harvick has gone 46 NASCAR Cup Series starts without a win since posting his career-best ninth of the 2020 season at Bristol. If there’s one place the 2014 series champion can end the long drought, it’s Phoenix Raceway, where he captured nine checkered flags, his most total at any track. Harvick is hoping to hit double-digits when he takes the wheel for the 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 on Sunday. The 2022 NASCAR Phoenix green flag drops at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Defending Cup Series champion Kyle Larson is the 9-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Ruoff Mortgage 500 2022 odds. Martin Truex Jr. is 6-1, Denny Hamlin is 13-2, Chase Elliott is 7-1 and Kyle Busch completes the top five 2022 NASCAR contenders in Phoenix at 15-2. You’ll want to check out the NASCAR predictions at Phoenix 2022 from Micah Roberts, the legendary Vegas bookie who pioneered racing betting, before locking in the Ruoff Mortgage 500 2022 picks.

Roberts, a former Vegas bookmaker, was the first to offer expanded NASCAR betting and now distributes NASCAR winners to his subscribers on SportsLine. Roberts is the nation’s top NASCAR betting expert, and his top pick, Elliott, won the Jockey Made in America 250 last season.

He also correctly predicted the winner of the 2021 Coca-Cola 600, earning Larson the win at odds of 11-2. The previous week, he was on point at the EchoPark Grand Prix of Texas, targeting Elliott as the winner at 8-5 odds. Anyone who has followed their picks is huge year after year.

Now, Roberts has analyzed the field and odds for Sunday’s NASCAR race at Phoenix 2022. He shares his winner and projected Phoenix NASCAR standings here.

2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 Expert Picks

Shocker: Roberts is down on Chase Elliott, even though he’s a top contender for the 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500. In fact, Roberts says Elliott, who has won just one of his 12 Cup Series starts in Phoenix, doesn’t even make the top 15.

“If it was the old car, Elliott should be in any betting equation in Phoenix,” Roberts told SportsLine, “but the new car makes me skeptical of him.”

Another curveball: Roberts is high on Aric Almirola, even though he’s a 25-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Phoenix. The 37-year-old Floridian, who announced in January that this would be his final season as a full-time driver, has finished sixth or better in his first three starts of 2022. Almirola’s best performance in the NASCAR Phoenix race was fourth in 2019. Additionally, he recorded another top five at Phoenix in the Cup Series and two in the Truck Series.

“It’s always been a great track for him,” Roberts told SportsLine. “He’s in his last year of racing in the Cup Series, and he’s coming off a better start to a season than I’ve ever seen.”

How to Make 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 Predictions

Roberts is high on a long shot that “has something simmering with the new car.” This driver is underrated by punters, and anyone who backs him could hit him big. You can only see who it is here.

So who wins NASCAR at Phoenix 2022? And what long shot stuns NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the 2022 NASCAR Phoenix rankings of the nation’s top NASCAR handicapper, and find out.

2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 odds, composition

Kyle Larson 9-2
Martin Truex Jr. 6-1
Denny Hamlin 13-2
Chase Elliott 7-1
Kyle Busch 15-2
Joey Logano 8-1
Ryan Blaney 10-1
William Byron 15-1
Alex Bowman 17-1
Kevin Harvick 17-1
Christopher Bell 18-1
Aric Almirola 25-1
Brad Keselowski 25-1
Tyler Red Dick 25-1
Kurt Busch 40-1
Austin Cindric 40-1
Ross Chestnut 50-1
Austin Dillon 60-1
Erik Jones 60-1
Bubba Wallace 75-1
Chase Briscoe 100-1
Cole Custer 100-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100-1
Daniel Suarez 100-1
Justin Haley 150-1
AJ Allmendinger 200-1
Chris Buescher 200-1
Harrison Burton 300-1
Ty Dillon 400-1
Todd Gilliland 850-1
Corey Joy 850-1
Michael McDowell 850-1
Josh Bilicki 1000-1
BJ McLeod 1000-1
Garrett Smithley 1000-1
Cody Ware 1000-1